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GOP Women's SuperPac Looks for 2012 Gains

Tuesday, March 13, 2012

GOP women are poised for gains in Congress in 2012, either by leaps or baby steps. ShePAC is optimistic, despite Jean Schmidt's March 6 upset in Ohio. Judy Biggert's race to keep her seat in Illinois is a lynchpin race.

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Slow and Steady Gains

Republican women, however, are making steady, if slow, gains. Right now, 24 of 73 women in the House of Representatives are Republican. Just 10 years ago, there were only 18. A decade before that, there were 9.

GOP women could theoretically gain as many as five or six seats in the House this year. If that happened, they might get more leadership positions in the lower chamber.

Right now, of the 25 House committees, only one--Foreign Affairs--is chaired by a woman, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen. Because Republicans control the House, only Republicans chair committees.

All that, however, depends on a number of variables.

One of them is redistricting tied to the 2010 Census. That redrawing of voter precincts gives newcomers--often women--a chance to break into office. It's also a presidential election year, when more voters turn out and give new candidates more hope.

These two factors in combination--redistricting in a presidential election year--only coincide every 20 years. Last time, in 1992, women made huge gains in higher office and that's why some are looking for another "year of the woman" in 2012.

Biggert's Race is Big

Yet redistricting, which makes incumbents vulnerable, can hurt women already in office, such as Judy Biggert, an incumbent from Illinois' 13th District, which was eliminated in 2010 redistricting. She is now running in the 11th District, which holds most of her old district but tilts more Democrat. NARAL Pro-Choice America gave Biggert the best rating of any Republican woman in Congress in 2011.

Biggert would need to win to make it a big year for Republican women, as well as two other major frontrunners--Missouri's Ann Wagner and Indiana's Jackie Walorski.

Six more women with fighting chances would also need to pull off victories, to make up for the defeat of Schmidt and other vulnerable or retiring incumbents.

Without such victories, GOP women's numbers could stay the same in the House, since Jean Schmidt lost her seat and Sue Myrick, from North Carolina's 9th District, retired.

One close race is playing out in Indiana's 5th District. Susan Brooks had raised the most money as of the end of 2011, when the last financial records are available, but another hopeful, David McIntosh, was closely trailing her. Since the new year, more men have entered the race. Brooks was deputy mayor of Indianapolis and a U.S. Attorney for Southern Indiana.

Kentucky's 4th District race also has a woman running in a field of men. Alecia Webb-Eddington is a former state trooper who serves in the state legislature. She is the only Republican candidate in the race who has served in a legislative body, though two others have been elected to county judge-executive positions.

Mia Love, the mayor of a small Utah town now running in the state's 4th District, is far behind financially. As of the end of 2011, she'd raised about $40,000 compared to Republican Carl Wimmer, who had $200,000. That's not to mention the incumbent Democrat, Jim Matheson, who has close to one million.

She stands out as an African American conservative woman in a party that has no African American Republican women in Congress.

On March 8, she became ShePAC's first official endorsement.

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Samantha Kimmey is a writer in Brooklyn, NY.

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